# Draft self-review for Scott Galloway (bar: standard)

A thread the subject could post. One line per claim, graded at the chosen bar, with the receipts linked. Edit freely; the numbers come from the run.

---

My 2026 predictions break into 15 checkable claims. Here is how they scored as of 2026-10-24, graded at three bars by called-it with every receipt attached: 0% strict, 27% standard, 47% lenient. 6 still open. Thread:

1/ ✗ missed: "Team Scotland will reach the semifinals of the World Cup on the back of a Pele-like performance from Scott McTominay."
2/ ✗ missed (provisional): "Best Investment (You Don’t Have Access to): TikTok U.S."
3/ ✓ called it (provisional): "The Data Center Bubble Bursts"
4/ ○ too soon to say (provisional): "Waymo Dominates"
5/ ○ too soon to say (provisional): "Short-Form Video and AI Meteors Strike Hollywood"
6/ ○ too soon to say (provisional): "Humanoid Robots = Self-Driving Cars of 2015"
7/ ✓ called it (provisional): "Vice of the Year: Prediction Markets"
8/ ✗ missed (provisional): "Big Tech Pick: Amazon"
9/ ○ too soon to say (provisional): "When Colbert shifts to podcasting, he’ll take eight people with him and make just $20 million, but it’ll only cost $5 million to produce."
10/ ✗ missed (provisional): "likely sending the U.S., possibly the globe, into recession."
11/ ✗ missed (provisional): "AI Stocks Correct"
12/ ✓ called it (provisional): "Synthetic Relationships Take Center Stage"
13/ ○ too soon to say (provisional): "Nvidia & OpenAI Duopoly Comes Under Siege"
14/ ✓ called it (provisional): "The ‘College Is Dead’ Narrative Collapses"
15/ ○ too soon to say (provisional): "Space: The Next Big ‘Thing’"

16/ Every grade, bar and evidence row is here: runs/galloway/report.html. If you think a bar is unfair, say which one; the run is replayable and I will regrade.